NFL Week 9: Tips and Fantasy Picks


nfl-week-9

CONFIDENCE PICKS

JGood (Green) 

13 New Orleans
12 Dallas
11 Kansas City
10 Seattle
9 Minnesota
8 Carolina
7 New York Giants
6 New York Jets
5 Indianapolis
4 San Diego
3 Baltimore
2 Oakland
1 Tampa Bay

D.Reed (Blue)

13 Dallas
12 Kansas City
11 Green Bay
10 Seattle
9 Carolina
8 New York Jets
7 Atlanta
6 San Diego
5 Minnesota
4 Miami
3 New York Giants
2 Denver
1 Pittsburgh

Week 8 Points and Results
JGood: 68 pts (9-3) record; Overall: 543 pts (62-56)
D.Reed: 61 pts (9-3) record;  Overall: 594 pts (70-47)

HOT OR NOT 🔥❄️ (D.Reed)

What’s Hot🔥
QB
Dak Prescott (Dallas @ Cleveland)
What’s not to love about Prescott’s week 9 matchup against a winless Cleveland Browns team!? Dallas is one of the hottest teams in the league right now, and Prescott is a huge part of their success!! Prescott is coming off of a huge game against a very tough Philadelphia Eagle defense scoring 27 pts!!! If Prescott had that great of a game against one of the better defenses in the league, what do you think he’ll do to one of the worst!!! Start the rookie of the year candidate with confidence!!!

Philip Rivers (Tennessee @ San Diego)
For three weeks in a row, the Tennessee Titans defense has allowed at least 25 pts to opposing quarterbacks which bode well for a struggling Philip Rivers. Over the last 3 games, Rivers is averaging only 13 pts, but he has faced a brutal Denver defense in two of the last 3. Bottom line is that Philip Rivers is due for a productive outing, and I expect for Rivers to bounce back in this one.

RB
Charcandrick West (Jacksonville @ Kansas City)
Charcandrick West is expected to start with Spencer Ware going through concussion protocol. In a week where a total of 6 teams are on bye, West makes a great waiver wire option and should be inserted as a fine RB2 option. With Alex Smith also out and Kansas City not wanting to rely heavily on backup Nick Foles, I expect West will receive a heavy workload and turn that workload into a very solid fantasy outing in week 9!!! Pick West up and get him into your lineups immediately!!!

Jonathan Stewart (Carolina @ Los Angeles)
Ever since Stewart has returned from injury, he’s been scorching hot, scoring 4 TDs in his last two starts!!! Carolina has been a better team with “J-Stew” in the lineup as Carolina gained a much-needed boost in the rushing department!! I expect that Stewart will be used heavily in attempt to keep QB Cam Newton upright and injury free!!! Newton is known to steal goal line carries from Stewart in the past, but with Carolina wanting to minimize the hits on Cam, I expect Stewart will handle majority of the touches up close and turn them into scores!!!

WR
Davante Adams (Indianapolis @ Green Bay)
With Randall Cobb sidelined due to injury last week, Davante Adams stepped in and made the best of his opportunity, reeling in 12 catches on 14 targets for 73 yards. In the past two weeks, Adams has been targeted a whopping 30 times, turning that into 25 catches, 206 yards, and two scores!!! Adams has a great week 9 matchup against a poor Colts secondary that was gashed by the Chiefs last Sunday. With his recently gained rapport with QB Aaron Rodgers, I believe that Adams is in for another solid outing!!!

Dez Bryant (Dallas @ Cleveland)
He’s baaaack!! Dez Bryant wasted no time knocking the rust off from his 3 game absence, catching four passes for 114 yards and a score on whopping 14 targets!!! I like Bryant to continue his hot production against the winless Cleveland Browns. This is the matchup that fantasy owners dream of, and I believe that Bryant won’t disappoint. I’m sure that Bryant will have no problem posting top 5 WR numbers this week!!!

TE
Kyle Rudolph (Detroit @ Minnesota)
Kyle Rudolph has been pretty inconsistent this year but so has the entire Vikings offense. Even with Rudolph’s inconsistency, I love this weeks matchup against a Detroit defense who’s allowed 8 TDs total and the most points to TEs this season!!! With Rudolph being one of the better options in the passing game and a big red zone target, I expect that Rudolph will put together a very respectable stat line.

D/ST
Kansas City (vs Jacksonville)
Kansas City has been one of the hotter defenses in the league, scoring double-digit fantasy points in each of the last 3 games. With the turnover prone Jacksonville Jags coming to town, I like that trend to continue. It’s always very difficult to play in Arrowhead Stadium, let alone win there, and I expect for Marcus Peters and company to be too much for the Jags to overcome!!


What’s Not❄
QB
Blake Bortles (Jacksonville @ Kansas City)
The Jacksonville Jaguars has been one of the biggest fantasy disappointments of the season, and Blake Bortles has been the main contributor to that disappointment. Bortles is coming off of a very solid performance at Tennessee throwing for 337 yds and 3 scores, but a huge chunk of his production came during “garbage time.” I don’t trust Bortles this week in such a hostile environment at Arrowhead Stadium. If you can help it, leave Bortles riding the pine this week.

RB
Latavius Murray (Denver @ Oakland)
Take away Murray’s TDs on the year and he’s fantasy irrelevant. It seems as if Murray’s success depends solely on his ability to find paydirt. It looks as if the Oakland offense is shifting towards being a pass first offense with Derek Carr passing the ball early and often, and that could cut into Murrays production!!! To make matters worse, Murray has a tough week 9 divisional matchup against the Denver Broncos!! Although I like Murrays chances on the goal line, I would still temper expectations for Murray until he proves himself to be more than TD dependent back!!!

WR
Marvin Jones (Detroit @ Minnesota)
Marvin Jones has been a fantasy diamond in the rough for the first few games of the season, but as of late, he’s seen a recent dip in production. Jones has been dealing with a foot injury which may have been the root of his unsatisfactory production. This week, Jones has a matchup against a pesky Vikings defense that has done a great job of shutting down opposing WRs!! The ceiling appears to be low for Marvin Jones this week!!!

TE
Julius Thomas (Jacksonville @ Kansas City)
The Jacksonville Jaguars offense is a mess, and Thomas has been ineffective in the passing attack. Jackson has scored in back to back games, but he’s caught no more than three passes in four consecutive starts. The Chiefs have allowed only one TD to opposing TEs all season and no one has more than 44 yards receiving yards. I expect Jacksonville to be down early in this one, therefore, I can only see Thomas finding paydirt in garbage time.

D/ST
Tennessee (@ San Diego)
Titans defense was a huge dissapointment in week 8 against Jacksonville with no INTS and just two sacks, and only scored 6 points last week in a game in which they let get out of hand late. As long as the Chargers can limit turnovers and sacks, I expect another subpar performance for the Titans defense!! Avoid the Titans D/ST this week if possible!!!

D.Reed @freshprynce23 (Twitter and Instagram)
JGood @jgoodwithsports (Twitter and Instagram)

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NFL Week 3 Tips and Fantasy Picks


 

nfl-week-3

CONFIDENCE PICKS

JGood (Green) 

16 Houston
15 Indianapolis
14 Miami
13 Arizona
12 Carolina
11 New York Giants
10 Tampa Bay
9 Pittsburgh
8 New Orleans
7 Dallas
6 Detroit
5 Baltimore
4 San Francisco
3 Oakland
2 Cincinnati
1 New York Jets

D.Reed (Blue)

16 Carolina
15 Green Bay
14 Seattle
13 Arizona
12 Indianapolis
11 New Orleans
10 Miami
9 Pittsburgh
8 Kansas City
7 Tampa Bay
6 Oakland
5 Dallas
4 New England
3 Washington
2 Jacksonville
1 Cincinnati

Week 2 Points and Results
JGood: 74 pts (8-8) record; Overall: 147 pts (16-16)
D.Reed: 90 pts (9-7) record;  Overall: 180 pts (19-13)

HOT OR NOT 🔥❄️ (D.Reed)

What’s Hot🔥
QB
Phillip Rivers (San Diego @ Indianapolis)
Normally I’m not too high on Rivers due to his lack of consistency, but this week I love his matchup against a battered and bruised Colts defense. The Colts defense is allowing an average of 18.7 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks, and I expect Rivers and his pass-happy offense to take full advantage!!!
Matt Ryan (Atlanta @ New Orleans)
Show of hands for who anyone who thought that Matt Ryan would be your number one player for points scored in the first two weeks. . .anyone?. .anyone?. .nope me either!!! This week, Ryan draws the matchup of a porous New Orleans defense!!! Use Ryan while you can because the Falcons schedule toughens up significantly in the weeks ahead. However, for now, it looks like “Matty-Ice” is in for another top 5 QB week!!!!
RB
Melvin Gordon (San Diego @ Indianapolis)
With Danny Woodhead now confirmed out for the year with a torn ACL, I expect an uptick in usage for Melvin Gordon in the SanDiego backfield. Although they signed Dexter McCluster, a player with a style similar to Woodhead, I still expect for Gordon to do well against a defense that has surrendered 5 TDs on the ground in its first two matchups! I don’t think Gordon will eclipse 100 yds rushing, but he’ll definitely get the looks near the goal line where he has been money in the bank!!!!
Matt Forte (NYG @ Kansas City)
Coming off a triple TD game against Buffalo, Forte is as hot as any RB in the league right now!! What makes Forte a top play week in and out is not only his ability to carry the ball but his ability as a pass catcher too!! It makes it even harder to sit him in PPR leagues. The Jets have made him a huge part of their offense in the first two games, and as long as Forte stays healthy, I don’t see that changing anytime soon!!! Even though Kansas City’s defense is far from a pushover, you can’t deny Forte’s usage and volume as he’s a threat to score through air or on land any given week!!!!
WR
Larry Fitzgerald (Arizona @ Buffalo)
The age-less wonder, who seems as young and fresh as ever, has already posted 3 scores this year!! He’s still Carson Palmer’s go-to guy in a very talented receiving corp! Much doesn’t seem to get past Fitzgerald as he always makes the best of his targets year in and year out!!! I see a very solid matchup for Fitz this week as he’s up against a suspect Bills secondary that was ripped to shreds against Ryan Fitzpatrick and company last week!!!
Travis Benjamin (San Diego @ Indianapolis)
Since the loss of Kenan Allen, Benjamin has become the top target in San Diego’s pass attack. Benjamin posted 6 catches for 115 yards and 2 scores against Jacksonville, and with Rivers looking Benjamin’s way early and often, I don’t see any reason why he wouldn’t post similar numbers against the Colts’ generous secondary!!! I have Travis Benjamin as a high-end WR2 with WR1 potential this week!!!
TE
Dennis Pitta (Baltimore @ Jacksonville)
Dennis Pitta flew under the radar last week with a whopping 9 catches for 102 yards!!! He lead all Ravens pass catchers in targets in week 2 with 12 and is quickly becoming Flacco’s favorite target!! Pitta gets the matchup against a Jacksonville defense that has given up some big games to TEs in the past. Given his usage as of late, I can easily see Pitta being a top plug and play option this week considering he went undrafted in most leagues!!!
D/ST
Arizona (@ Buffalo)
The firing of offensive coordinator Greg Roman gives an indication on how Buffalo’s offense is doing through the first few weeks. It seems like the Bills are in a tough spot this week as they play host to an extremely talented Arizona defense! With things in disarray in Buffalo, now seems like a great time to plug in Arizona’s D/ST with confidence!!!
What’s Not❄
QB
Tyrod Taylor (Arizona @ Buffalo)
(Sighs) It really hurts me to do this to such a quarterback with tremendous potential, but with the offense looking so inconsistent from week to week and a tough matchup against Arizona, it looks like Tyrod Taylor deserves a spot on this list this time around. Hopefully, you have a better option at QB because this doesn’t seem like it’ll be Taylor’s week. (Insert Jordan crying face here)
RB 
Devonta Freeman (Atlanta @ New Orleans)
Even though I love the matchup this week against the Saints, it seems like the Atlanta backfield has become a bit messy with the emergence of Tevin Coleman, who scored Atlanta’s only TD on the ground last week. Coleman seems to be used in the passing game while Freeman being used on early down situations. Either way, it seems like there is no clear cut number 1 guy in this backfield as long as Coleman’s solid play continues. So be mindful of any use of a running back in this cloudy backfield!!! I also love Coleman a lot more in PPR format!!
WR
Sammy Watkins (Arizona @ Buffalo)
A WR with a foot injury. . . yep. . .proceed with caution!!! It seems to me that Sammy Watkins has been used more of a decoy than anything else! Personally, I would leave this super talented WR on your bench until he shows signs of being near full strength!! I know it hurts to see a big name like Watkins on the bench but sometimes it’s better to be safe than sorry. However, being matched up against Patrick Peterson and a talented Arizona secondary should make benching him a little easier!!!
TE
Gary Barnidge (Clevland @ Miami)
2015 Breakout TE Gary Barnidge just lost his QB, Josh McC own, who made said breakout year possible. Barnidge was McCown’s favorite weapon of choice when he was the signal caller for the Browns last season. Since McCowns injury is more serious than expected, I expect for “Barney” to be put on the shelf until further notice!!! We’ll have to wait and see if Kessler or whoever is at QB can rekindle that same magic that McCown and Barnidge once shared!
D/ST
Philadelphia (vs Pittsburgh)
Philly has surprisingly been a top fantasy defense throughout these first two games (although it can be a little misleading when playing Cleveland and Chicago), but coming off a short week and going up against one of the league’s top offensive units in the Pittsburgh Steelers, I expect that trend to change!!! The Steelers are built to light up the scoreboard quick, fast and in a hurry, and I see tough sledding for Fletcher Cox and company.

 

 

D.Reed @freshprynce23 (Instagram)
JGood @jgoodwithsports (Twitter and Instagram)

Fantasy Football Tips 2016


This is one of my favorite times of the year. From now until February, the NFL will be on every Sunday. With preseason starting up, fantasy football is just around the corner. With that being said, here are some tips that should help you on your draft day.

Antonio Brown Is Special

The golden rule in fantasy football is that you always take a running back in the first round. However, Antonio Brown has become an exception to this rule the past 2 seasons. In 2015, he scored 243 fantasy points in standard play by racking up 1834 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns. Brown has been the “go-to guy” for Big Ben and the number go to guy in fantasy football. It is okay to draft him with the first pick.

Don’t Waste Your First Round Pick On…

O’Dell Beckham Jr, Ezekiel Elliott, and Rob Gronkowski. As talented as ODB is, I rather draft Julio Jones. Atlanta’s only weapon in the passing game is Jones (He led the league in targets last season with 136). Eli Manning has the return of Victor Cruz and rookie Sterling Shepard to utilize as well.  Please be cautious if you do decide to pick him in the first round.

I have nothing against Ezekiel Elliott’s ability, but I’m not drafting a player who hasn’t played a signal down in the NFL in the first round. The Dallas Cowboys has the best offensive line in football so it does seem enticing to draft Elliott early. However, in the famous words of Stephen A Smith, “The Cowboys are an accident waiting to happen”.

Last year was my first time taking Rob Gronkowski and it happened to be in the first round. By week 4, I’ve learned that tight ends are becoming a deep position. Plus, Tom Brady will miss the first 4 games. Taking Gronk in the second round is okay.

My Sleepers Consist Of…

Lamar Miller, Donte Moncrief, Kevin White, and Markus Wheaton. In my opinion, Lamar Miller was underutilized in Miami. The last season and a half, Miller showed he can produce when he touches the ball. He’ll have his chance to shine in Houston.

With Andre Johnson departure and Andrew Luck, finally healthy, Donte Moncrief has a high ceiling to be productive this season. TY Hilton will see double coverage far more times than not. This will enable Moncrief for one on one match-ups in a pass heavy offense. Let that sink in.

We will finally see what Kevin White can do on the gridiron. After missing his first season with a shin injury, White looks to fill the void of what the Chicago Bears offense was missing last season. White is 6’3″ and runs under a 4.4 in the 40-yard dash. With the attention on Alshon Jeffrey, the Bears first round pick in 2015 could be a playmaker.

When Martavis Bryant missed the first 4 games last season due to a suspension, Markus Wheaton didn’t take advantage of the opportunity. Now that Bryant is suspended all of the 2016 NFL Season, Wheaton will have all season to prove his value and explode on the fantasy football scene.

Just Stop

Matthew Stafford, Demaryius Thomas, and the San Francisco 49’ers. Stafford has talent, but he primarily benefited from having Calvin “Megatron” Johnson. Now that Johnson is retired, Matthew Stafford has lost his security blanket. With the lack of talent on offense, he might consistently struggle. I rather draft Ryan Tannehill.

Demaryius Thomas has the ability to be a top 5 wide receiver in the league. He has exceptional hands and speed. The problem with him in fantasy football this year is his new quarterback, Mark Sanchez. Sanchez hasn’t been the most accurate quarterback and is known for his “Butt Fumble” (CLICK HERE TO WATCH). Unless Sanchez gets him the ball consistently, Thomas may be a flex option at best.

Last year, the Cleveland Browns was the team I said to avoid drafting any players from. Now, I wouldn’t advise drafting anybody from San Francisco. Carlos Hyde has some potential but the way their offense is presently constructed, teams might give him the “Adrian Peterson treatment” (putting 8 players in the “box” on defense to stop the run). We’re not sure if Blaine Gabbert or Colin Kaepernick will start, but neither is worth starting in fantasy football. Torrey Smith is a deep threat but the quarterback play is insufficient for Smith to be productive. At least Cleveland has Josh Gordon coming back week 5, pending reinstatement.

Always Remember

Simple but important tips:

  • Running backs are scarce (get them while you can)
  • Draft your quarterback between round 6 and 8 (they are a dime a dozen)
  • Do not draft a kicker until last 2 rounds (this should be a given)
  • Don’t reach for a player unless you think it’s absolutely necessary
  • Do your research before drafting (very vital)

If nothing else, have fun!

JGOOD